Photo credit:

“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Concho Resources Inc (NYSE: CXO)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 06/11/2014


End date: 06/10/2019
Start price/share: $137.46
End price/share: $99.50
Starting shares: 72.75
Ending shares: 72.91
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.25
Total return: -27.45%
Average annual return: -6.22%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $7,253.56

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -6.22%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $7,253.56 today (as of 06/10/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -27.45% (something to think about: how might CXO shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Concho Resources Inc paid investors a total of $0.25/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .5/share, we calculate that CXO has a current yield of approximately 0.50%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .5 against the original $137.46/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.36%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“The ideal business is one that earns very high returns on capital and that keeps using lots of capital at those high returns. That becomes a compounding machine.” — Warren Buffett