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“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a two-decade holding period for an investor who was considering Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (NYSE: MLM) back in 1999, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 05/13/1999
$10,000

05/13/1999
$42,180

05/10/2019
End date: 05/10/2019
Start price/share: $67.75
End price/share: $215.87
Starting shares: 147.60
Ending shares: 195.49
Dividends reinvested/share: $25.00
Total return: 322.00%
Average annual return: 7.46%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $42,180.13

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.46%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $42,180.13 today (as of 05/10/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 322.00% (something to think about: how might MLM shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. paid investors a total of $25.00/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.92/share, we calculate that MLM has a current yield of approximately 0.89%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.92 against the original $67.75/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.31%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Although it’s easy to forget sometimes, a share is not a lottery ticket… it’s part-ownership of a business.” — Peter Lynch