“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a longterm investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Apache Corp (NYSE: APA)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.
Start date:  05/08/2014 


End date:  05/07/2019  
Start price/share:  $88.03  
End price/share:  $30.51  
Starting shares:  113.60  
Ending shares:  125.81  
Dividends reinvested/share:  $5.00  
Total return:  61.62%  
Average annual return:  17.43%  
Starting investment:  $10,000.00  
Ending investment:  $3,838.06 
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of 17.43%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $3,838.06 today (as of 05/07/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 61.62% (something to think about: how might APA shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Apache Corp paid investors a total of $5.00/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on exdate is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1/share, we calculate that APA has a current yield of approximately 3.28%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1 against the original $88.03/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.73%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Searching for companies is like looking for grubs under rocks: if you turn over 10 rocks you’ll likely find one grub; if you turn over 20 rocks you’ll find two.” — Peter Lynch