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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc (NYSE: ZBH) back in 2014, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 04/25/2014
$10,000

04/25/2014
$12,903

04/24/2019
End date: 04/24/2019
Start price/share: $100.54
End price/share: $124.45
Starting shares: 99.46
Ending shares: 103.66
Dividends reinvested/share: $4.66
Total return: 29.01%
Average annual return: 5.23%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $12,903.21

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 5.23%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,903.21 today (as of 04/24/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 29.01% (something to think about: how might ZBH shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc paid investors a total of $4.66/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .96/share, we calculate that ZBH has a current yield of approximately 0.77%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .96 against the original $100.54/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.77%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“You can get in much more trouble with a good idea than a bad idea, because you forget that the good idea has limits.” — Benjamin Graham